Nick Maggiulli

What You Can’t Buy

Following Your Beliefs and Why I Came to RWM Photo: Pixabay From a young age, I knew something wasn’t quite right with the world.  It all started when I lost my first tooth.  I was five years old when I showed my parents my first enameled souvenir.  They told me to put it in a…

Four Things Leonardo da Vinci Can Teach Us About Investing

What I Learned From One of History’s Greatest Minds Photo: Pixabay You may know him for the Mona Lisa.  You may know him for The Last Supper.  However, Leonardo da Vinci was far more than just a painter and an artist.  He was an anatomist, a military engineer, a scientist, and the list goes on….

The Old Gods and the New

On Confidence and the God Complex Photo: Pixabay In 2015, Time Magazine named her one of the “100 Most Influential People” in the world, just two months after her 31st birthday.  President Obama appointed her to be a U.S. ambassador for global entrepreneurship and Harvard Medical School invited her to its board of fellows.  She…

The McRib Effect

Why Understanding Causality is So Difficult Photo: Pixabay It’s Sunday morning.  You walk to your mailbox and see a letter from a mysterious stock research firm.  The firm claims that their market insights team knows with 100% certainty that a particular stock is going up over the next week.  Skeptical, you put the envelope aside…

You Have No Competition

On Your Career Development and How to Think About Competitors Photo: Pixabay I will never forget the moment when I changed how I think about competition.  I was watching Barry Ritholtz interview Ken Fisher, the founder and chairman of Fisher Investments, at the opening keynote for the 2018 Evidence-Based Investing Conference (EBI West) in Dana…

A Change in Perspective

Re-Thinking How To Make Investment Decisions Photo: Pixabay The author John Valliant once said that there is only one certainty when it comes to following tiger tracks: If you follow them long enough you will eventually arrive at a tiger, unless the tiger arrives at you first. This was the reality for Yuri Trush and…

What is Your Financial Tipping Point?

On Understanding Your Financial Limits Photo: Pixabay It was 1949 and Fred Charles Iklé wanted to know why some European cities had been abandoned during World War II while others survived.  While traveling through war-torn Germany, Iklé discovered that the city of Hamburg was still inhabited despite losing 3.3% of its population and half of…

Why The Best Predictor of Future Stock Market Returns is Useless

On the Importance of Supply and Demand Photo: Pixabay In one of my favorite animal experiments, researchers wanted to see how pond cichlids would change their mating behavior as the sex ratio (number of males relative to females) was altered in a controlled environment.  Since cichlids are known for their monogamy and don’t desert their…

Exception To The Rule

On The Pitfalls of Exception-Based Investing Photo: Flickr He described the sensation as “a thousand knives” being driven into his body.  He knew cold, but not like this.  Charles Herbert Lightoller was treading 28 degree water (-2 Celsius) as he watched the Titanic slowly sink into the ocean.  Though he managed to climb aboard an…

Why You Don’t Know the Price Until You Sell

On Abnormal Markets and How to Prevent Forced Selling Photo: Pixabay It was 1935 and the Austrian physicist Erwin Schrödinger had a problem with Albert Einstein.  Einstein had just released a paper with two fellow scientists that discussed the concept of superposition, an idea that seemed somewhat absurd to Schrödinger.  Superposition implied that an atom (or…